A percentage is the share of simulated paths that last through the plan.
One assumed return cannot tell you how often a bad sequence of markets would use the plan up. Chance of Success reruns the plan through many possible market paths and counts the share that still have money at the end.
The ring divides those paths. Some finish with a lot left, some finish tight, and some run out before the plan ends. The percentage is only the share that last.
01
What You Enter
Your savings, your spending, and when you plan to stop working.
02
What The Model Does
Many market paths, counted into one percentage and a split of how they end.
03
What You Decide
Whether that share, and the paths that run out, is a result you can live with.
Explorer and Planner
- Explorer
- Retirement plan with a 500-trial chance-of-success simulation
- Planner
- 2,000-trial Monte Carlo for steadier odds